Before I make the decision to start nuclear survival preparations—and, perhaps, make lifestyle changes–I need to know: What’s the probability of a nuke attack on U.S. soil? Many people have qualitative opinions but I’ve found little quantitative analysis. Perhaps the risk can’t be calculated; or perhaps the numbers have been crunched and classified, I don’t [...]
Posted tagged ‘terrorism’
The likelihood of a nuclear attack on U.S. soil – part 1
June 18, 2008Warren Buffet on a nuclear “incident” – part 2
May 8, 2008I’m researching the probability of a nuke attack and I want to revisit my post of 1/21/08 regarding Warren Buffet’s remark that a nuclear incident on U.S. soil is a “virtual certainty.” According to a footnote on page two of a paper by political scientist John Mueller (pdf file), who argues the risk of an [...]
Will I survive a nuke? Estimating what size nuke to plan for
April 5, 2008I want to know if I’ll survive a nuclear blast just three miles from ground zero. The first step is to estimate the size of the bomb that would most likely be used in an attack. Disclaimer to Self: If I’m wrong about my conclusion, i.e., if a larger bomb is used, well, I could [...]
Warren Buffet on Nuclear Bombs
January 21, 2008[Go to a 5/8/08 UPDATE on this post] “It’s inevitable.” A quote by Warren Buffet. This is old news but worth reviewing to get it in the record of this blog. It’s important because if I needed just one person to make the case that a nuclear attack on U.S. soil was a slam-dunk, it [...]
