Before I make the decision to start nuclear survival preparations—and, perhaps, make lifestyle changes–I need to know: What’s the probability of a nuke attack on U.S. soil? Many people have qualitative opinions but I’ve found little quantitative analysis. Perhaps the risk can’t be calculated; or perhaps the numbers have been crunched and classified, I don’t [...]
Posted tagged ‘nuclear terrorism’
The likelihood of a nuclear attack on U.S. soil – part 1
June 18, 2008Warren Buffet on a nuclear “incident” – part 2
May 8, 2008I’m researching the probability of a nuke attack and I want to revisit my post of 1/21/08 regarding Warren Buffet’s remark that a nuclear incident on U.S. soil is a “virtual certainty.” According to a footnote on page two of a paper by political scientist John Mueller (pdf file), who argues the risk of an [...]
Will I survive a nuke? Estimating what size nuke to plan for
April 5, 2008I want to know if I’ll survive a nuclear blast just three miles from ground zero. The first step is to estimate the size of the bomb that would most likely be used in an attack. Disclaimer to Self: If I’m wrong about my conclusion, i.e., if a larger bomb is used, well, I could [...]
Surviving a nuclear terrorist attack on New York City (video: 7 min., 20 sec.)
February 20, 2008I do this blog largely because nuclear terrorism gets little coverage in the mainstream press. I taped this ABC News piece, which aired in Sept. 2005 as part of a post-Katrina program on disasters, and find it informative and well-balanced. It speculates on the fate of New Yorkers after a 10 kiloton bomb explodes in [...]
Warren Buffet on Nuclear Bombs
January 21, 2008[Go to a 5/8/08 UPDATE on this post] “It’s inevitable.” A quote by Warren Buffet. This is old news but worth reviewing to get it in the record of this blog. It’s important because if I needed just one person to make the case that a nuclear attack on U.S. soil was a slam-dunk, it [...]
Journalist Paul L. Williams talks about an ‘American Hiroshima’
December 11, 2007My post of 10/25/07 (“How much is that nuclear bomb in the window?”) mentions award winning journalist Paul L Williams. He has a large body of work documenting attempts by terrorist groups to obtain enriched uranium and nuclear weapons and their conviction to use them. He was interviewed on 11/28/07 on a radio show called [...]
‘…widespread panic, chaos and death is inevitable and will happen soon…’
December 6, 2007When it comes to nuclear weapons, Iran still gets all the headlines. They cancelled their nuke program…blah blah…I get it. But google for the “International Conference on Illicit Nuclear Trafficking,” a meeting just two weeks ago, and there’s virtually no press. If you follow the last link in my post of 11/30/07 (“Nuclear Terrorism News”) [...]
