Before I make the decision to start nuclear survival preparations—and, perhaps, make lifestyle changes–I need to know: What’s the probability of a nuke attack on U.S. soil? Many people have qualitative opinions but I’ve found little quantitative analysis. Perhaps the risk can’t be calculated; or perhaps the numbers have been crunched and classified, I don’t [...]
Posted tagged ‘nuclear risk’
The likelihood of a nuclear attack on U.S. soil – part 1
June 18, 2008Warren Buffet on a nuclear “incident” – part 2
May 8, 2008I’m researching the probability of a nuke attack and I want to revisit my post of 1/21/08 regarding Warren Buffet’s remark that a nuclear incident on U.S. soil is a “virtual certainty.” According to a footnote on page two of a paper by political scientist John Mueller (pdf file), who argues the risk of an [...]
Warren Buffet on Nuclear Bombs
January 21, 2008[Go to a 5/8/08 UPDATE on this post] “It’s inevitable.” A quote by Warren Buffet. This is old news but worth reviewing to get it in the record of this blog. It’s important because if I needed just one person to make the case that a nuclear attack on U.S. soil was a slam-dunk, it [...]
